Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 42.92 | $0.233 | $6.12 | -$3.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 7.67 | $0.130 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 25.64 |
| $0.039 |
| $5.37 |
| +$4.37 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 15.72 | $0.127 | $3.14 | +$1.14 |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 10.16 | $0.295 | $2.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $2.46 | -$2.54 |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 20.07 | $0.149 | $1.89 | -$1.11 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | No | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | CDU | 9.73 | $0.205 | $1.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 33.96 | $0.118 | $1.43 | -$2.57 |
| Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? | No | 11.63 | $0.086 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | No | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | No | 21.06 | $0.047 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 25.74 | $0.078 | $0.22 | -$1.78 |
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.086 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?No | buy | 21.06 | $0.047 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | sell | 4.22 | $0.945 | $3.99 | 4d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.855 | $2.88 | 4d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 6.16 | $0.050 | $0.31 | 4d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.148 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | 4d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.250 | $1.39 | 4d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 11.61 | $0.086 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.040 | $0.27 | 4d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?Under | sell | 6.25 | $0.110 | $0.69 | 4d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 15.71 | $0.200 | $3.14 | 4d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?Under | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.23 | $0.021 | $0.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.041 | $0.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.275 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.050 | $0.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.380 | $4.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |