Analytics
RefJ. has made $489.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | No | 35 | $0.163 | $21.93 | +$16.22 |
 Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 16:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 18:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 18:45 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-07 22:18 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.39K and losing ones cost $2.27K across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $867.38 on “Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $852.85 on “Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?” (Yes).
It has traded 512 markets. Its open positions are worth $112.41 across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 35 |
| $0.217 |
| $21.89 |
| +$14.3 |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | Yes | 56 | $0.893 | $20.97 | -$29.03 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes | 12.07 | $0.580 | $8.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 42.92 | $0.233 | $6.63 | -$3.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | Yes | 12.66 | $0.316 | $5 | +$1 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $3.46 | +$1.46 |
 Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? | No | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 18.69 | $0.107 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.66 | $0.158 | $1.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 5.75 | $0.174 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.6 | $0.384 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.72 | $0.070 | $0.59 | -$1.91 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.35 | $0.180 | $0.54 | -$0.96 |
 Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | Yes | 1.73 | $0.290 | $0.18 | -$0.32 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
