Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Mar 7, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Settled

Mar 7, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 7 Mar 2025, the highest close was 16.5% on 1 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 7 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 10.1% on 4 Mar 2025. $1.36M traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 7:48 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 7 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–20%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	111.07K
Motionless-Servant	Yes	11.64K
KimbalMusk	Yes	6.91K
Megatron747	Yes	6.47K

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the final “Close” price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 07 Mar '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.