Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Belarus commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Ukraine between August 25, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official information from Belarus, Ukraine, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.