Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 27 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 38% on 15 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 6.5% on 17 Aug 2024. $62.6K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 5:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 27 Jun 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2024 | 10.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hephaistos | Yes | 100 |
| sham710 | Yes | 87.5 |
| elodiereutlinger | Yes | 75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rabby launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between June 25 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rabby team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-september-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 50 |
| Sleepy-Lifestyle | Yes | 40 |
| ER02CB | Yes | 25 |
| tara28 | Yes | 20 |
| Sneeds | Yes | 13.04 |
| vaughnjoseph | Yes | 11 |
| williamhoward | Yes | 10 |
