Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 19.38 | $0.155 | $1.65 | -$1.35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?Up | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 28.57 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.57 |
| -$0.43 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 17.6 | $0.114 | $1.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | $0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 28.8 | $0.104 | $0.88 | -$2.12 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 10.32 | $0.097 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.077 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 17.68 | $0.113 | $0.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | Yes | 6.09 | $0.164 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.280 |
| $1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | sell | 1.12 | $0.990 | $1.11 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 32.5 | $0.031 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | sell | 5.59 | $0.880 | $4.92 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.854 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.097 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.580 | $1.61 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.007 | $0.37 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.120 | $0.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.050 | $0.63 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.900 | $1.04 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.028 | $1.56 | May 26, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.150 | $0.17 | May 10, 2026 |
 US bank failure by May 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.997 | $2.84 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.420 | $1.61 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.790 | $0.89 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.89 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.57 | $0.042 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |