Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 79.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 18 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2025 to 15 Jun 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 11% on 24 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 45.5% on 12 Jun 2026. $11.32M traded over the market's life.
931 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 5:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 18 Dec 2025 – 15 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 | 26.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| millanos | No | 200.82K |
| James000 | No | 194.14K |
| treesanddreams | No | 177.6K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
| IHeardLoveisallyouNeed | No | 142.27K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | No | 110.93K |
| Wan234 | No | 94.07K |
| DaOnepiece | No | 76.02K |
| hopedieslast | No | 75.51K |
| shiwtime | No | 55.06K |
| imfinewe | No | 49.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
