Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 28.09 | $0.430 | $17 | +$4.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.09 | $0.430 | $12.08 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 33.97 |
| $0.038 |
| $0.05 |
| -$1.26 |
| buy |
| 87.72 |
| $0.057 |
| $5 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Harry Kane: 3+ goalsYes | buy | 113.68 | $0.220 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 53.78 | $0.045 | $2.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.041 | $2.41 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 33.97 | $0.039 | $1.31 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 89 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Down | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No | buy | 74.1 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?Yes | buy | 263.64 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 12.31 | $0.081 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.53 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 34.83 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 31.29 | $0.058 | $1.8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.136 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.003 | $12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 322.91 | $0.037 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.011 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.020 | $56.8 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevDu Plessis | buy | 90.58 | $0.310 | $28.08 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevDu Plessis | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.95 | $0.053 | $6 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.230 | $40 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.060 | $4 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.039 | $4 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 308.99 | $0.039 | $12 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 489.2 | $0.025 | $12 | Aug 1, 2025 |