Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 368 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 21.3% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.1 points down, to 12.2% on 27 Nov 2025. $3.87M traded over the market's life.
419 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 368 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.28M |
| Hasbullahr | Yes | 72.77K |
| traderboy1212120 | Yes | 58.08K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet (GOOG) is the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Margaritaville | Yes | 46.8K |
| WADETEST | Yes | 20.05K |
| acal | Yes | 18.3K |
| Willhappen | Yes | 18.15K |
| superforecastor | Yes | 14.4K |
| bluestar123 | Yes | 13.87K |
| Fartard | Yes | 12.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
