Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?

Resolved

Up, settled Jan 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.0M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 17 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 7.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 92.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $1.02M traded over the market's life.

494 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 12:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Jan 2026	49.5%
17 Jan 2026	92.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tamaaa	Down	60.32K
spxbt	Down	15.1K
Labua420	Down	10K
diuniverse	Down	10K

10 of 494 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.