Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 11 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 206 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 19.5% on 23 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 19.5% on 23 Jun 2025. $70.86K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 206 points, 11 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 2.67K |
| TheWizard80 | Yes | 573.12 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-grants-license-for-new-nuclear-reactor-in-2025
| Esalon | Yes | 305.11 |
| Sydhavn | Yes | 280.47 |
| ahjuh | Yes | 191 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| ShibaIna | Yes | 166.67 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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