Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 890.66K | $0.001 | $1.07K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 7.63K |
| $0.140 |
| $1.07K |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 72.47K | $0.003 | $203.65 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | buy | 35.18K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?No | buy | 16.03K | $0.006 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 31.99K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No | buy | 31.51K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?No | buy | 37.55K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?No | buy | 43.97K | $0.002 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?No | buy | 16.32K | $0.006 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | buy | 49.09K | $0.002 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 33.33K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 648.14 | $0.980 | $635.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 577.06 | $0.985 | $568.45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 577.06 | $0.314 | $181.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 648.15 | $0.270 | $175 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.54K | $0.140 | $356.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 685.67 | $0.210 | $143.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.004 | $4.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.78K | $0.050 | $139.1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.09 | $0.110 | $73.27 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.93K | $0.019 | $73.27 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.119 | $143.67 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39K | $0.060 | $143.67 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.148 | $243.77 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.2K | $0.058 | $243.77 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.083 | $347.32 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.37K | $0.026 | $347.32 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.190 | $402.02 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.37K | $0.030 | $402.02 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.331 | $791.48 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.52K | $0.117 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.93K | $0.038 | $150 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.23K | $0.042 | $936.04 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.028 | $63.96 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.028 | $62 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.040 | $6.67 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 223.13 | $0.100 | $22.31 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.120 | $33.33 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 223.13 | $0.150 | $33.47 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug in 2025?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.070 | $30 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 154.75 | $0.129 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 228.13 | $0.088 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 474.61 | $0.169 | $80 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 139.86 | $0.143 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 117.97 | $0.170 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.037 | $50 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | sell | 466.95 | $0.081 | $37.74 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.070 | $43.75 | Dec 27, 2025 |