Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.9%. Yes opened at 32% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 30 Dec 2025, the highest close was 32% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 4.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 4.1% on 30 Dec 2025. $31.36K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 2:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 30 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 32.0% |
| 30 Dec 2025 | 4.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| miracle-test | Yes | 1.1K |
| Unconscious-Median | Yes | 805.18 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Mountainous-Stew | Yes | 440 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Netanyahu hug on December 29, 2025 ET. Any hug recorded on that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-netanyahu-hug-on-monday
| Tomshel93 | Yes | 380.18 |
| spare6some6change6 | Yes | 300 |
| GGBCHUO | Yes | 293.93 |
| Puzzled-Fountain | Yes | 285.71 |
| Telamon | Yes | 263.64 |
| 7jrjejeheh737374 | Yes | 200 |
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