Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.220 | $25.96 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 181.82 |
| $0.110 |
| $20 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.018 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.019 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.019 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 889.35 | $0.022 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 611.64 | $0.033 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 787.4 | $0.025 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 147.36 | $0.017 | $2.54 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 435.68 | $0.015 | $6.64 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.020 | $22.71 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 931.68 | $0.025 | $23.29 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 8.54K | $0.020 | $170.78 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 435.68 | $0.023 | $9.94 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 389.74 | $0.038 | $15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 147.37 | $0.034 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 541.94 | $0.037 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.032 | $40.33 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 186.67 | $0.021 | $3.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | sell | 48.72 | $0.080 | $3.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.021 | $25.18 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | sell | 297.69 | $0.085 | $25.17 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 699.71 | $0.021 | $14.48 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 241.43 | $0.060 | $14.49 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 241.43 | $0.070 | $16.9 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.044 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 915.56 | $0.055 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 346.42 | $0.087 | $30 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.078 | $293.77 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 541.86 | $0.083 | $45.21 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 98.78 | $0.310 | $30.62 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 159.83 | $0.060 | $9.59 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.220 | $22.68 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.635 | $22.68 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.71 | $0.070 | $12.16 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 77.77 | $0.285 | $22.16 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 24.33 | $0.180 | $4.38 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.280 | $4.37 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 148.18 | $0.088 | $13.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.37 | $0.130 | $13.05 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.38 | $0.155 | $15.56 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jan 10, 2026 |