Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 28 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 40.5% on 30 Nov 2025. $1.14M traded over the market's life.
298 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwerty6 | No | 34.89K |
| GetEvenOrGetEvenWorse | No | 24.99K |
| username1849 | No | 4.03K |
| bab25 | No | 3.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Epstein client list released - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - US x Venezuela military engagement - Putin meets with Zelenskyy - Bitcoin reaches $120,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+December.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-december
| Bangerz | No | 2.1K |
| hunggin | No | 1.64K |
| everythingsometimeshappens | No | 1.49K |
| daddy1 | No | 1.35K |
| Dopacid | No | 1.21K |
| feriante | No | 1.01K |
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