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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 887.94 | $0.517 | $732.55 | +$273.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.75 | $0.670 | $7.2 | May 5, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 450 |
| $0.630 |
| $339.75 |
| +$56.25 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.893 | $192.1 | +$13.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $96.15 | +$13.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $95.35 | +$11.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.570 | $93.5 | +$36.5 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.510 | $19.33 | +$9.13 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.530 | $19.1 | +$8.5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 199.94 | $0.230 | $9 | -$36.99 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.440 | $7.5 | -$36.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.830 | $7.5 | -$9.1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.210 | $6.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $5.3 | -$8.9 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.360 |
| $1.8 |
| May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.490 | $2.5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.07 | $0.740 | $3.75 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.11 | $0.920 | $9.3 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.22 | $0.230 | $1.2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.43 | $0.690 | $3.75 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown | buy | 5.12 | $0.850 | $4.35 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp | buy | 5.19 | $0.520 | $2.7 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 5.14 | $0.710 | $3.65 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp | buy | 10.43 | $0.268 | $2.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 5.73 | $0.410 | $2.35 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 10.11 | $0.930 | $9.4 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 5.31 | $0.320 | $1.7 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 5.54 | $0.370 | $2.05 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 10.83 | $0.240 | $2.6 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.33 | $0.300 | $1.9 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 6 | $0.300 | $1.8 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.65 | $0.230 | $1.3 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | sell | 24.15 | $0.934 | $22.56 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 96.58 | $0.910 | $87.89 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.920 | $7.62 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 133.93 | $0.052 | $7 | Mar 18, 2026 |