Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
This cohort does not include historical position rows. The independent provider snapshot above shows separately available positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 28.27K | $0.999 | $28.24K | Jan 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 71.43K |
| $0.998 |
| $71.29K |
| Jan 2, 2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 925 | $0.340 | $314.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | sell | 116.41K | $0.001 | $119.98 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 34.07K | $0.848 | $28.9K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 8.54K | $0.849 | $7.25K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 14.44K | $0.055 | $794.39 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.787 | $1.37K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.114 | $123.01 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.49K | $0.870 | $9.99K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 270.58 | $0.170 | $46 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.239 | $419.09 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 3.95K | $0.217 | $856.07 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.03K | $0.191 | $579.48 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 26.54K | $0.783 | $20.78K | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.370 | $827.22 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?Yes | buy | 5.25K | $0.852 | $4.48K | Dec 11, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 24.54K | $0.499 | $12.25K | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11.45K | $0.654 | $7.49K | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.8K | $0.680 | $3.94K | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10.2K | $0.700 | $7.14K | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.84K | $0.751 | $2.89K | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 250.3K | $0.994 | $248.8K | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 231.35K | $0.995 | $230.19K | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.53K | $0.770 | $6.57K | Dec 2, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 49.22K | $0.951 | $46.81K | Dec 2, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 22.21K | $0.950 | $21.1K | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 596.5 | $0.230 | $137.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 559.98 | $0.590 | $330.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?Yes | buy | 58.26 | $0.200 | $11.65 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 193.23 | $0.295 | $57.04 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.560 | $11.19K | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.55K | $0.590 | $12.72K | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.96K | $0.420 | $2.08K | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 72.83 | $0.290 | $21.12 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?No | sell | 81.41K | $0.925 | $75.28K | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 22.13K | $0.880 | $19.46K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 18-24?No | buy | 64 | $0.798 | $51.06 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 10K | $0.975 | $9.75K | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 10K | $0.946 | $9.46K | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will a handshake between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman only be photographed on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 7.26K | $0.032 | $228.87 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.100 | $190 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?No | buy | 4.95K | $0.989 | $4.89K | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.098 | $183.8 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?No | buy | 19.67K | $0.100 | $1.97K | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?No | buy | 37K | $0.095 | $3.5K | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.920 | $13.8K | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 21.94K | $0.038 | $829.42 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.965 | $1.04 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | sell | 38.56K | $0.974 | $37.55K | Nov 10, 2025 |