Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 143 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 23 Mar 2026, the highest close was 10% on 3 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 19 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 5% on 4 Nov 2025.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 6:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 143 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 23 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 9.0% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 43.88K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 20.79K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 6.5K |
| idontmis | Yes | 5K |
| twdaddy | Yes | 4.17K |
| Abrus77 | Yes | 4K |
| trev | Yes | 2.88K |
| rated | Yes | 2.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
