Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 13?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.998 | $6.3 | May 14, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.01 |
| $0.997 |
| $4 |
| May 13, 2025 |
 Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.994 | $5.07 | May 12, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.998 | $3.96 | May 9, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.999 | $3.55 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.999 | $4.01 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Netherlands election called before May?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.999 | $3.8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.998 | $8.4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.991 | $2.76 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 25?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.999 | $3.66 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 24?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.990 | $3.27 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.998 | $4.52 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.985 | $4.31 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will egg prices drop this week?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.999 | $9.16 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.997 | $3.51 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.994 | $6.1 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.993 | $5.62 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.995 | $4.78 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.990 | $3.78 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.997 | $6.03 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.990 | $3.94 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.988 | $3.1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.995 | $3.15 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.998 | $3.11 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 4.19 | $0.998 | $4.18 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.994 | $1.62 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.988 | $3.88 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | buy | 4.95 | $0.997 | $4.94 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.981 | $2.6 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.996 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk visit Stargate Texas site before March?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.998 | $8.1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | sell | 200.6 | $0.995 | $199.6 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | sell | 501.5 | $0.995 | $498.99 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 501.5 | $0.997 | $500 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | sell | 401.2 | $0.995 | $399.19 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 401.2 | $0.997 | $400 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.989 | $1.56 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.990 | $3.89 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.985 | $9.99 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.985 | $1.43 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.999 | $1.84 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.982 | $4.57 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.988 | $2.97 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.999 | $8.41 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.996 | $4.34 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.993 | $7.05 | Feb 13, 2025 |