Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 23 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Feb 2025. $40.55K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 23 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 12.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pollymonster | Yes | 586.5 |
| klaasr | Yes | 563.43 |
| Tse02658 | Yes | 127.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 22, Sam Altman invited Elon Musk to visit the Abilene Stargate data center site after Musk expressed skepticism of the Stargate project (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1882106524090482701?s=46). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk visits the Stargate data center site in Abilene, Texas, by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be video or photo evidence confirming the visit, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-visit-texas-stargate-site-before-march
| No |
| 0.06 |
| maniputakl | No | 0.02 |
| dolmil | No | 0.02 |
| neverfeesplease | No | 0.01 |
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