Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 22 Mar 2025, the highest close was 1.1% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 22 Mar 2025. $43.86K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 6:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 22 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 1.1% |
| 22 Mar 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| misterkaka | Yes | 4.26K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 1.36K |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 999.7 |
| Zodiac11 | Yes | 84.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas personnel enter Israeli territory from Gaza for combat operations between March 17, and March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Entering Israeli territory" is defined as any instance where Hamas personnel are physically present on the ground in Israeli territory after crossing from Gaza. Incursions which are solely maritime or air-based will not count. Entering buffer zones within Gaza controlled by Israel will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-enter-israel-by-friday
| hkamen | Yes | 83.33 |
| kathleen86 | No | 0.02 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.01 |
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