Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| Jun 15, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin before May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.242 | $4.03 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?No | sell | 5 | $0.932 | $4.66 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.049 | $1.47 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.048 | $1.06 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 10-20% on the EU by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will the Super Bowl national anthem last more than 150 seconds?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.019 | $1.33 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift shown O/U 7.5 times on broadcast?Over | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Opensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.049 | $1.47 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 New pandemic before July?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.129 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Ripple ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight NightAnsem | buy | 20.51 | $0.390 | $8 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 17.46 | $0.630 | $11 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.580 | $19.33 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 101.63 | $0.492 | $50 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |