Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 242 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 76.5% on 24 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 32% on 1 Jul 2025. $271.64K traded over the market's life.
201 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 242 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 52.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thomander | Yes | 5.62K |
| Yangchrisyin | Yes | 3.52K |
| itsragnar | Yes | 2.52K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ripple ETF receives approval from the SEC by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Approval under Rule 19-4b will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, even if there has not been an S-1 approval. Similarly, an S-1 approval without a 19-4b approval will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ripple-etf-approved-by-july-31-2025
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| Quiet Comet B9E5 | Yes | 1.45K |
| 1x100000 | Yes | 849.54 |
| Kodi0014 | Yes | 600.78 |
| W1nn3r | No | 523.91 |
| Midas8 | Yes | 445.22 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 283 |
| lazko | Yes | 253.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
