Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 18 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 350 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 22% on 26 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 19% on 21 Jan 2025. $945.43K traded over the market's life.
216 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 350 points, 18 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | 7.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SolarFlar3 | Yes | 22.79K |
| NMwins | Yes | 9.17K |
| jn149hwf | Yes | 5.81K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce between January 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obama-divorce-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| ChoJinn | Yes | 3.25K |
| pushkarunners179 | Yes | 3.18K |
| Dollarone | Yes | 3.08K |
| Dr7Gonzo | Yes | 3K |
| mangpods | Yes | 2.39K |
| Wogforce | Yes | 2.35K |
| TruthSearUm | Yes | 1.61K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
