Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 396 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2023 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 68.5% on 21 Nov 2024 and the lowest 33.5% on 31 Aug 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 55.5%; a month before, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 59% on 13 May 2024.
$2.44M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is whereami with 400 shares; the largest No position is Mystic901 with 700. Ten wallets hold 73.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 9:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 396 points, 3 Dec 2023 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2023 | 61.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 50.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $1,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-token-1-billion-a-week-after-launch
New to prediction markets?
| iuhuh |
| Yes |
| 164.53 |
| fudfu | Yes | 150.94 |
| helenbcart | Yes | 142.86 |
| KileyHeast | Yes | 126.79 |
| gimmemore | Yes | 115.52 |
| sirenSarah | Yes | 115.2 |
| nothanks123 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
