Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 14% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 130 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 17% on 5 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 17% on 5 Mar 2025. $544.75K traded over the market's life.
95 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 130 points, 23 Jan 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 14.0% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gambler5000 | Yes | 1.6K |
| EIP7702Sucks | Yes | 1.08K |
| Anonops | Yes | 975 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market. If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-eliminates-capital-gains-on-crypto-before-june
| Mikiya | Yes | 949.99 |
| AdrianADA | Yes | 900 |
| Mercedesarul | Yes | 795.69 |
| unknownpineapple | Yes | 774.99 |
| iic2 | Yes | 769.23 |
| sghrk12635 | Yes | 730.2 |
| lotuseater | Yes | 687.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
