Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.160 | $192 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.940 |
| $188 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.031 | $6.51 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.031 | $15.19 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.972 | $194.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 70 | $0.920 | $64.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.978 | $489 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.985 | $492.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 210 | $0.968 | $203.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 168.21 | $0.912 | $153.41 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 139.6 | $0.911 | $127.18 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 620 | $0.966 | $598.8 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.890 | $356 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 21.63 | $0.690 | $14.92 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | buy | 340 | $0.853 | $290.02 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.859 | $429.47 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.967 | $193.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 600 | $0.910 | $546 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?No | buy | 52.95 | $0.066 | $3.49 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?No | buy | 62.1 | $0.079 | $4.91 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No | buy | 167.5 | $0.048 | $8.04 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 42.18 | $0.760 | $32.06 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.126 | $6.3 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Kanye name his token YZY?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.031 | $1.02 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 44.13 | $0.170 | $7.5 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in March?Yes | sell | 93.75 | $0.330 | $30.94 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 No Data Reported in 2025?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 300 | $0.640 | $192 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Will Kanye name his token YZY?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 855.47 | $0.009 | $7.7 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 275.77 | $0.031 | $8.55 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.026 | $0.78 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 999.96 | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 48.97 | $0.340 | $16.65 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Bybit buy >$1b ETH by next Friday?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.044 | $0.02 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.070 | $0.63 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 157.75 | $0.160 | $25.24 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval before March?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.003 | $0.23 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 63.29 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 568.66 | $0.002 | $1.14 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |