Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.022 | $1.25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.250 |
| $5 |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?No | buy | 192.86 | $0.006 | $1.25 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?No | buy | 166.71 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in August?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.750 | $3.41 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.013 | $0.93 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $250 in July?Yes | buy | 56.67 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in July?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Cloud" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Tony Moreno win the 2025 Pittsburgh mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by August 15?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue over South Park episode?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 China coup attempt in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Humanitarian airdrops over Gaza by August 8?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 140.83 | $0.024 | $3.35 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.012 | $0.12 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?Yes | buy | 509.54 | $0.015 | $7.67 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.101 | $2 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.288 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.039 | $4 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.026 | $40 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.92 | $0.026 | $1.09 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 272.72 | $0.004 | $1.09 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 7?Yes | buy | 85.33 | $0.030 | $2.56 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 6?Yes | buy | 171.49 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Merz events on June 5?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 New Netherlands election announced before Summer Recess?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 618.16 | $0.048 | $29.44 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.578 | $1K | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 977.67 | $0.342 | $334.56 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 77.93 | $0.064 | $5 | May 28, 2025 |