Latest trade
Jan 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:56 AM UTC.
Analytics
Mercedesarul is down $196.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 13 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:56 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from May 28, 2025 UTC to Jan 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.022 | $1.25 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-26 12:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 01:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 01:56 UTC
polymarket positions
14 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-26 12:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.33K and losing ones cost $318.44 across 13 settled positions. 61.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $892.88 on “Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $285.8 on “Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 30 Jan 2026. It has traded 102 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.250 |
| $5 |
| Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?No | buy | 192.86 | $0.006 | $1.25 | Aug 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?No | buy | 166.71 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in August?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.750 | $3.41 | Aug 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.013 | $0.93 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $250 in July?Yes | buy | 56.67 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in July?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will anyone say "Cloud" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tony Moreno win the 2025 Pittsburgh mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 North Korea missile test by August 15?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sue over South Park episode?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 China coup attempt in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Humanitarian airdrops over Gaza by August 8?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 140.83 | $0.024 | $3.35 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.012 | $0.12 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?Yes | buy | 509.54 | $0.015 | $7.67 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.101 | $2 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.288 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.039 | $4 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.026 | $40 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.92 | $0.026 | $1.09 | Jun 13, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 272.72 | $0.004 | $1.09 | Jun 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 7?Yes | buy | 85.33 | $0.030 | $2.56 | Jun 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 6?Yes | buy | 171.49 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Merz events on June 5?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 New Netherlands election announced before Summer Recess?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 618.16 | $0.048 | $29.44 | Jun 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.578 | $1K | May 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 977.67 | $0.342 | $334.56 | May 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 77.93 | $0.064 | $5 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.