Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.1%. Yes opened at 19% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 22.5% on 6 Aug 2025 and the low 1.4% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 16% on 7 Aug 2025. $80.87K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 39 points · 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 19.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rich69 | Yes | 1.56K |
| Petr0vi4 | Yes | 999.57 |
| oscarshans | Yes | 606.27 |
| bysuk | Yes | 449.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow municipality, or any target within the municipality, between July 24 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-hits-moscow-by-august-31
| Markimark65 | Yes | 311.29 |
| 135777841 | Yes | 212 |
| lissartter | Yes | 155.76 |
| Hidden007 | Yes | 142 |
| BenjaminNetAnYahoo | Yes | 105.26 |
| Slaytanic | Yes | 100 |
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