Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 357.21 | $0.478 | $289.34 | +$118.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 119.07 | $0.770 | $91.68 | 11d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 265.96 |
| $0.658 |
| $225 |
| +$50 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 211.76 | $0.850 | $176.82 | -$3.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 228.96 | $0.655 | $176.3 | +$26.3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 192.31 | $0.780 | $168.27 | +$18.27 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 501.38 | $0.399 | $155.43 | -$44.57 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 200.9 | $0.587 | $152.68 | +$34.68 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.470 | $151.25 | +$33.75 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 192.31 | $0.780 | $150 | $0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 135.14 | $0.370 | $125 | +$75 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 109.86 | $0.660 | $99.42 | +$26.92 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $94.5 | +$6.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 113.07 | $0.663 | $94.42 | +$19.42 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 148.15 | $0.810 | $91.11 | -$28.89 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 89.29 | $0.700 | $82.15 | +$19.64 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 74.17 | $0.861 | $73.62 | +$9.74 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 100.14 | $0.579 | $66.59 | +$8.59 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 138.3 | $0.470 | $64.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.660 | $63.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 64.24 | $0.778 | $62.03 | +$12.02 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 119.36 | $0.461 | $60.28 | +$5.28 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 64.71 | $0.850 | $54.35 | -$0.65 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 136.99 | $0.730 | $49.32 | -$50.68 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 51.27 | $0.585 | $36.4 | +$6.4 |
 Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98.35 | $0.437 | $31.96 | -$11.04 |
| sell |
| 70 |
| $0.910 |
| $63.7 |
| 11d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 172.41 | $0.950 | $163.79 | 11d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 91.13 | $0.823 | $75 | 27d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | sell | 197.46 | $0.410 | $80.96 | 27d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 51.27 | $0.585 | $30 | 27d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 89.28 | $0.920 | $82.14 | 27d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.94 | $0.470 | $23 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.63 | $0.049 | $4 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 97.16 | $0.093 | $9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?No | buy | 119.36 | $0.461 | $55 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.180 | $15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.420 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 112.9 | $0.591 | $66.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.45 | $0.315 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 64.24 | $0.940 | $60.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 109.84 | $0.901 | $98.96 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.560 | $49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 184.84 | $0.358 | $66.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.560 | $70 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 14.22 | $0.352 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 128.47 | $0.940 | $120.76 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 61.18 | $0.390 | $23.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 142.97 | $0.350 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028?No | buy | 64.71 | $0.850 | $55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 148.15 | $0.810 | $120 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 249.25 | $0.930 | $231.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.780 | $150 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 241.94 | $0.930 | $225 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 93.02 | $0.450 | $41.86 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 160.6 | $0.183 | $29.39 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 181.91 | $0.275 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.400 | $35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 184.84 | $0.243 | $45 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 228.96 | $0.655 | $150 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 112.4 | $0.215 | $24.15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.780 | $150 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.41 | $0.445 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 99.95 | $0.290 | $28.99 | Aug 5, 2026 |