Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 85% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 14 Aug 2025, the highest close was 100% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 75.5% on 2 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 75.5% on 2 Aug 2025. $38.57K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 12:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 14 Aug 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 85.0% |
| 14 Aug 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ThankTheHeavens | No | 1.2K |
| Potatorekt | No | 810 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 639 |
| lemonsqueeze | No | 528.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 24 July '25 11:30 and 31 December '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by-december-31
| FariaLimaBETS | No | 164.21 |
| Mercedesarul | No | 6.67 |
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