
Resolved Yes on 27 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 26 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2025 to 27 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 27 Jul 2025 and the lowest 73.5% on 26 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 99.6% on 27 Jul 2025. $22.63K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 8:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 Jul 2025 – 27 Jul 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | 73.5% |
| 27 Jul 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| antarc | No | 2.11K |
| Superb-Meander | No | 421.42 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 228 |
| OldJack | No | 115.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any government conducts at least one humanitarian airdrop over Gaza between July 25 and August 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The airdrop must be for humanitarian purposes—such as delivering food, water, medicine, or other essential aid—and must physically take place over Gaza airspace. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/humanitarian-airdrops-over-gaza-by-august-8
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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