Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 12.5%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 18 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2025 to 30 Jul 2025, the highest close was 17% on 28 Jul 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 21 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 10% on 19 Jul 2025. $119.97K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 12:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 18 Jul 2025 – 30 Jul 2025, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2025 | 15.5% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trump2028 | No | 3.46K |
| stevenmo | No | 1.2K |
| JaidenAnimations | No | 697.01 |
| hulagu | No | 500.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 30, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by July 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-july-press-conference
| fumeurdherb | No | 500 |
| Lilpump | No | 200 |
| lissartter | No | 199.52 |
| boblazar420 | No | 111.11 |
| dappdev | No | 100 |
| Failx | No | 40.96 |
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