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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 170.1K | $0.601 | $136.93K | +$34.69K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.7K | $0.010 | $57.02 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 99.93K |
| $0.988 |
| $99.28K |
| +$579.77 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 67.39K | $0.979 | $67.16K | +$1.15K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 62.96K | $0.986 | $62.55K | +$493.39 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 35.38K | $0.902 | $34.83K | +$2.9K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.67K | $0.836 | $30.47K | +$2.33K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.54K | $0.200 | $22.1K | +$13.99K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 22.14K | $0.873 | $20.7K | +$1.38K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 21.28K | $0.975 | $20.66K | -$94.68 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.54K | $0.200 | $18.04K | +$9.93K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 11.27K | $0.860 | $9.86K | +$169.08 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 7.47K | $0.994 | $7.41K | -$18.68 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 7.46K | $0.950 | $7.12K | +$38.99 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.17K | $0.980 | $7.04K | +$14.33 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 5.49K | $0.942 | $5.46K | +$283.65 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 3.06K | $0.970 | $3K | +$29.11 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 2.07K | $0.917 | $1.96K | +$57.37 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.860 | $46.75 | +$3.75 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.876 | $11.23 | +$0.71 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 5.89 | $0.890 | $5.79 | +$0.54 |
| buy |
| 40.54K |
| $0.995 |
| $40.34K |
| 7d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.992 | $297.6 | 7d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.98K | $0.993 | $18.85K | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 166.66 | $0.994 | $165.66 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 443.91 | $0.971 | $431.04 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.95K | $0.978 | $12.67K | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.83K | $0.992 | $15.7K | 8d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 7.53K | $0.990 | $7.45K | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 24.69K | $0.989 | $24.42K | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?No | buy | 12.37K | $0.993 | $12.28K | 9d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.992 | $37.7 | 9d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 32.65K | $0.989 | $32.29K | 9d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46.28K | $0.990 | $45.82K | 9d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 420.71 | $0.988 | $415.66 | 9d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 6.85K | $0.950 | $6.51K | 9d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.980 | $1.58K | 9d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.998 | $6.07 | 10d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 10.93K | $0.999 | $10.92K | 10d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 116.29 | $0.986 | $114.66 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?No | buy | 7.66K | $0.998 | $7.65K | 10d ago |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | buy | 4.52K | $0.980 | $4.43K | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.986 | $3.18K | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.984 | $3.04 | 18d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 4.93K | $0.982 | $4.84K | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.83K | $0.995 | $109.28K | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.82K | $0.980 | $9.63K | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 810.55 | $0.930 | $753.81 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 18.59K | $0.868 | $16.13K | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 7.45K | $0.984 | $7.33K | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.909 | $1.01K | 21d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.64K | $0.835 | $25.59K | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 25K | $0.890 | $22.25K | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 17.67K | $0.965 | $17.04K | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 65.42K | $0.588 | $38.45K | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 95.68K | $0.606 | $57.94K | 22d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 11.06K | $0.860 | $9.51K | 23d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | buy | 3.06K | $0.970 | $2.97K | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 34.44K | $0.988 | $34.02K | 23d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.87K | $0.970 | $2.78K | 23d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 419.94 | $0.968 | $406.57 | 23d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 3.95K | $0.993 | $3.92K | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 6.01K | $0.993 | $5.96K | 26d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 15.28K | $0.983 | $15.02K | 26d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 8.98K | $0.981 | $8.81K | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 80K | $0.976 | $78.07K | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 465 | $0.973 | $452.45 | 26d ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 115 | $0.990 | $113.85 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 230.56 | $0.992 | $228.72 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 7.47K | $0.986 | $7.36K | Aug 6, 2026 |