Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 31% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 67.5% on 5 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 67.5% on 5 Mar 2025. $525.23K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 31.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.5% |
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Mexico by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-mexico-before-may
| Yes |
| 174.57 |
| Indigo Harbor 275B | Yes | 100.32 |
| wukong9 | Yes | 69 |
| hews | Yes | 33 |
| AirCustom | Yes | 31.75 |
| GHJKHKGH | Yes | 30 |
| MGMHpbhgjdl | Yes | 24.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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