Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 137.39 | $0.291 | $19.44 | -$20.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.435 | $8.2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 19.23 |
| $0.780 |
| $16.63 |
| +$1.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.99 | $0.790 | $16.61 | +$1.61 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10.3 | $0.971 | $9.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.44 | $0.958 | $9.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10.92 | $0.916 | $8.94 | -$1.06 |
| sell |
| 11.76 |
| $0.740 |
| $8.7 |
| Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.470 | $5.95 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.29 | $0.150 | $2.74 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.080 | $1.23 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | sell | 13.22 | $0.140 | $1.85 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.979 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.896 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.790 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 17.83 | $0.841 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?Up | buy | 22.69 | $0.661 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.714 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.916 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.971 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | sell | 19.15 | $0.182 | $3.49 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.825 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |