Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 48% on 6 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 421 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 96.6% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 17% on 15 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 57.5% on 7 Dec 2025. $7.56M traded over the market's life.
545 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 421 points, 6 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2025 | 48.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27M |
| morilun | No | 5K |
| ashfaqdb | No | 1.1K |
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2025
| realbambin0 | No | 1.05K |
| gandalf | No | 999.93 |
| Lunar Horizon A917 | No | 962.67 |
| Royal Horizon E97E | No | 720 |
| RememberAmalek | No | 575.27 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| clwlaowang | No | 464.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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