Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 30 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 71.5% on 29 Jun 2025 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 61% on 3 Jun 2025. $1.09M traded over the market's life.
264 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 218 points, 30 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2025 | 62.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 85843 | Yes | 26.92K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 21.04K |
| Grumpy-Acquisition | Yes | 13.52K |
This is a market on predicting the launch date of Tesla's unsupervised full self-driving (FSD) technology.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tesla-launches-unsupervised-full-self-driving-fsd-by
| sanqo | Yes | 12.59K |
| Rubikwall | Yes | 9.98K |
| casvanmarcel | Yes | 7.6K |
| Lone-Guideline | Yes | 4.1K |
| BT1234 | Yes | 3.62K |
| Luispe | Yes | 3.08K |
| Ivory Falcon 774D | Yes | 2.61K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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