Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$39.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 5 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 24 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 11% on 3 Apr 2025. $39.57K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Feb 2025	10.5%
1 Jul 2025	0.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Volica	Yes	1.2K
Bearso	Yes	949.97
ArbiTrader.Zim	Yes	323.79

Rules

How this market was settled

On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration acquires ownership of any of TikTok's U.S. operations or stock by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of an acquisition will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if/when the assets actually come under management of the fund. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.