Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 17% on 4 Apr 2025 and the low 0.3% on 11 Dec 2025. $180.92K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 282 points, 27 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| modern | Yes | 3.64K |
| edgario | Yes | 1.81K |
| rdunjgiofnuei | Yes | 1.01K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point between March 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nord-stream-pipeline-turned-on-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 850.01 |
| topl | Yes | 674.07 |
| bettrade | Yes | 491.8 |
| wgfgCLHOzu | Yes | 414.89 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 383 |
| huangsterstonks | Yes | 310.25 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 269 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
