Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 48 |
| $0.949 |
| $45.55 |
| Jul 30, 2025 |
 Fartcoin all time high before August?No | sell | 251 | $0.988 | $247.99 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 141.01 | $0.044 | $6.2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | sell | 10.57 | $0.910 | $9.62 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 10.33 | $0.500 | $5.17 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.230 | $3.59 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.322 | $64.46 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 131.22 | $0.820 | $107.6 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?No | buy | 149.34 | $0.964 | $143.96 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Yoon in jail before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.082 | $8.2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?No | sell | 41 | $0.780 | $31.98 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 40 | $0.628 | $25.12 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 52.75 | $0.070 | $3.69 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?No | sell | 18.06 | $0.500 | $9.03 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Shedeur Sanders start Week 1 for the Browns?No | buy | 50.86 | $0.860 | $43.74 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?No | sell | 76.43 | $0.964 | $73.68 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Yoon in jail before July?No | sell | 135.28 | $0.924 | $125 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.031 | $0.98 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?No | sell | 26.22 | $0.957 | $25.09 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?No | buy | 56.5 | $0.670 | $37.86 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?No | buy | 25.56 | $0.710 | $18.15 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?Yes | sell | 52.01 | $0.320 | $16.64 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?No | sell | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 236.4 | $0.390 | $92.2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 8 | $0.780 | $6.24 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 37.82 | $0.329 | $12.44 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 16.14 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 129.6 | $0.570 | $73.87 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 120 | $0.500 | $60 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.130 | $1.69 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.396 | $39.6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.604 | $60.4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 33.83 | $0.460 | $15.56 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.320 | $67.2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.400 | $39.6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?No | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?No | sell | 7.53 | $0.520 | $3.92 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 30.64 | $0.530 | $16.24 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.670 | $14.07 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?Yes | sell | 68.81 | $0.020 | $1.38 | Jun 3, 2025 |