Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 17 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2025 to 6 Aug 2025, the highest close was 83.5% on 6 Aug 2025 and the lowest 22.5% on 27 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 51.5% on 29 Jul 2025. $181.38K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 12:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 17 Jul 2025 – 6 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2025 | 56.5% |
| 6 Aug 2025 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vlds | No | 6.12K |
| sirdenal | No | 1.96K |
| dcagod | No | 1.5K |
| MagicEightBall | No | 1.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between July 15 and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolution source: https://www.whitehouse.gov
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-increase-sanctions-on-russia-by-september-15
| Kardlez | No | 1.05K |
| hedgedoge | No | 400 |
| educated-bet | No | 399.98 |
| whydoineedausername | No | 350 |
| AlgoTaken | No | 344.67 |
| Trippelwater | No | 280.37 |
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