Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.975 |
| $48.75 |
| Aug 5, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before September?No | buy | 100 | $0.976 | $97.59 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.946 | $47.29 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in August?No | buy | 25 | $0.720 | $18 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in August?No | buy | 80 | $0.969 | $77.52 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in August?No | buy | 25 | $0.970 | $24.25 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in August?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.940 | $7.24 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No | buy | 150 | $0.927 | $139.03 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 118 | $0.992 | $117.06 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 82.04 | $0.991 | $81.3 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 19 | $0.978 | $18.58 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will US airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 44.99 | $0.976 | $43.91 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.910 | $31.85 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Megaquake by September 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.870 | $21.75 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?No | buy | 16 | $0.460 | $7.36 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?No | buy | 50 | $0.938 | $46.9 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| India x Pakistan military clash by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?No | buy | 35 | $0.350 | $12.25 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?No | buy | 95 | $0.478 | $45.39 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | sell | 150 | $0.995 | $149.25 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Grok be the next CEO of X?No | sell | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.760 | $11.4 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.660 | $16.5 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by August 15?No | buy | 25 | $0.860 | $21.5 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Obama endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.870 | $21.75 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.956 | $23.9 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.890 | $22.25 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Cardi B and Stefon Diggs breakup before August?No | sell | 50 | $0.982 | $49.11 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 130 | $0.992 | $128.96 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Jul 26, 2025 |