Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will BNB be the top performing crypto in February?No | buy | 66.66 | $0.950 | $63.33 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.02K |
| $0.981 |
| $1K |
| Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 575.34 | $0.958 | $551.34 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 520.83 | $0.960 | $500 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No | buy | 720.91 | $0.971 | $700 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 274.43 | $0.729 | $200 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 520.83 | $0.960 | $500 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 603.86 | $0.828 | $500 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 589.88 | $0.848 | $500 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.005 | $25 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.005 | $21.36 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before September?No | sell | 250 | $0.973 | $243.3 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.49 | $0.260 | $13.65 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?No | buy | 203.85 | $0.590 | $120.27 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | sell | 500 | $0.990 | $495.17 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.590 | $1.09 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?No | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 349.1 | $0.940 | $328.15 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before September?No | buy | 250 | $0.830 | $207.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?No | buy | 250 | $0.920 | $230 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC July 1-7?No | buy | 88.3 | $0.946 | $83.58 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 324 | $0.480 | $155.52 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 109 | $0.879 | $95.81 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 373.79 | $0.117 | $43.55 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?No | buy | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.010 | $51.35 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | sell | 499.98 | $0.996 | $497.98 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 41.63 | $0.904 | $37.63 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 139.76 | $0.760 | $106.22 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 500 | $0.750 | $375 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House in June?No | buy | 339 | $0.948 | $321.37 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by Friday?No | buy | 44.91 | $0.945 | $42.44 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?No | buy | 250 | $0.788 | $197.02 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 16.16 | $0.900 | $14.54 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 131 | $0.977 | $127.99 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.270 | $539.99 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 2K | $0.760 | $1.52K | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.740 | $1.63K | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.388 | $581.27 | May 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.130 | $520 | May 12, 2025 |