Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?No | sell | 5.39 | $0.990 | $5.34 | May 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 7 |
| $0.997 |
| $6.98 |
| May 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.993 | $5.36 | May 14, 2025 |
| Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June?No | buy | 7 | $0.997 | $6.98 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will 'Fight or Flight' gross more than $1.5m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 7.64 | $0.999 | $7.63 | May 12, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.999 | $8.51 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.999 | $7.96 | May 8, 2025 |
 Chinese soldier caught in Ukraine before May?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.997 | $4.98 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.992 | $5.74 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?No | buy | 12.95 | $0.999 | $12.94 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.999 | $5.38 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.991 | $3.65 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies 9/11 files in first 100 days?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.991 | $5.69 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.997 | $6.25 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 RFK's daughter-in-law picked as CIA deputy director?No | buy | 6.95 | $0.999 | $6.94 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.998 | $8.91 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will egg prices drop this week?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.999 | $5.79 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.997 | $5.31 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.990 | $6.22 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order this week?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.999 | $7.77 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.997 | $7.95 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.993 | $8.51 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 New Epstein names released by Friday?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.978 | $1.37 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.990 | $6.66 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 808.8 | $0.998 | $807.18 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 808.81 | $0.999 | $808 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 800.8 | $0.998 | $799.2 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 800.8 | $0.999 | $800 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 814.81 | $0.998 | $813.18 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will the Green Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 814.81 | $0.999 | $814 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.996 | $2.08 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.988 | $2.88 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 5?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.990 | $1.37 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.990 | $1.45 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Bybit hacker return stolen ETH by next Friday?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.996 | $10.49 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.989 | $2.05 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No | sell | 960.96 | $0.997 | $958.08 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 960.96 | $0.999 | $960 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.993 | $1.83 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.990 | $2.17 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.997 | $2.53 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.982 | $2.47 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.998 | $2.37 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.982 | $1.08 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.983 | $2.68 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.994 | $3.62 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.981 | $3.1 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |