Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 22 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 3.5% on 22 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2025. $276.58K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 22 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | 3.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| orcas2333 | Yes | 13K |
| saeid.alisa | Yes | 2.49K |
| housleskytarou | Yes | 2K |
| sdfkjnsdfkjsd | Yes | 1.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 21, Brian Zhou confirmed Bybit was subject to a sophisticated hack. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/benbybit/status/1892963530422505586. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50% of the ETH (as calculated by # of ETH tokens) exploited from Bybit is returned by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bybit, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-bybit-hacker-return-stolen-eth-before-march
| bestestestest | Yes | 1.05K |
| Insanoflex | Yes | 556.11 |
| cSTGHLDaIq | Yes | 351.5 |
| kingushka | Yes | 295 |
| launder0x | Yes | 281.13 |
| sunshinema | Yes | 250 |
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