Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 27.27 | $0.550 | $25.23 | +$10.23 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 25 |
| $0.880 |
| $23.6 |
| +$1.6 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 23.81 | $0.840 | $23.06 | +$3.06 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 21.53 | $0.929 | $21.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 20.56 | $0.924 | $19.67 | +$0.67 |
| buy |
| 24.15 |
| $0.740 |
| $17.87 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 21.53 | $0.929 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.880 | $22 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.450 | $12 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 17.11 | $0.760 | $13 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.924 | $19 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.350 | $9.72 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 26.78 | $0.550 | $14.73 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 29.44 | $0.860 | $25.32 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No | sell | 24.19 | $0.610 | $14.76 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 19.51 | $0.820 | $16 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.05 | $0.210 | $4.63 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.14 | $0.034 | $1.26 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.953 | $3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.870 | $8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | buy | 51.95 | $0.770 | $40 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.890 | $4.8 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.060 | $4.8 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.14 | $0.350 | $13 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.630 | $12 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | sell | 19.75 | $0.800 | $15.8 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 18.6 | $0.860 | $16 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 51.11 | $0.438 | $22.4 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.940 | $6.4 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 19.75 | $0.810 | $16 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.200 | $16 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.965 | $56.76 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 9.93 | $0.870 | $8.64 | Nov 17, 2024 |