Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 67% on 15 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 15 Nov 2025 to 19 Nov 2025, the highest close was 98.9% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 23% on 17 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 75.5% on 18 Nov 2025. $766.42K traded over the market's life.
170 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 15 Nov 2025 – 19 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | 67.0% |
| 19 Nov 2025 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| duderr | No | 6.85K |
| uliks | No | 4.01K |
| MaCub | No | 3.2K |
| trumpismyking | No | 3.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will sell F-35 fighter jets to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, preliminary discussions, expressions of intent without a finalized agreement, announcements contingent on future conditions, or partial policy changes (e.g., resuming talks without committing to a sale) will not be considered sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus from credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-agrees-to-sell-f-35-to-saudi-arabia-by-november-30
| funding | No | 1.75K |
| i5mogger | No | 1.58K |
| weekendcollector | No | 1.43K |
| Ryxon21 | No | 1.36K |
| Divina-Intuitio | No | 1.15K |
| Irish77 | No | 1K |
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