Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 16.5%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 4 Nov 2025 and the lowest 16.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 40% on 5 Nov 2025. $3.79M traded over the market's life.
466 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 4 Nov 2025 – 3 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 60.5% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gopfan2 | No | 53.75K |
| TheRedChip | No | 47.43K |
| gsdfgfds | No | 46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between November 3, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 26K |
| ololololololololo | No | 9.28K |
| hollyber | No | 9K |
| Go3ami2g | No | 8.6K |
| PA11 | No | 8.47K |
| Ovrrep | No | 8.12K |
| jaja5050 | No | 8K |
